Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 17, 2026 • 6:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magda Linette
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magda Linette
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,482 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,482 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magda Linette and Varvara Gracheva are set to meet at the Miami on March 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Linette enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gracheva has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gracheva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Linette leads 4–1 over Gracheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.