Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 24, 2026 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Magda Linette
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magda Linette
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,695 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,695 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magda Linette and Tatjana Maria are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Linette enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Maria has posted a 2–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.