Magda Linette vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 25, 2025 • 10:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magda Linette
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,091 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,091 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,186 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magda Linette and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the Miami on March 25, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Linette enters with a 14–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Paolini has posted a 27–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.