Madison Keys vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 9, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,164 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daria Kasatkina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,184 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Keys enters with a 24–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kasatkina has posted a 12–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 4–2 over Kasatkina, including a win in their most recent meeting.