Mackenzie McDonald vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 30, 2025 • 3:00 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mackenzie McDonald
50% · 8–8 on hard
17% · 1–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,591 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,591 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,201 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,201 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 30, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 6–5 record on grass courts in 2025, while Khachanov has posted a 8–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Khachanov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 5–0 over McDonald, including a win in their most recent meeting.