Mackenzie McDonald vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Houston • Clay • Apr 3, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mackenzie McDonald
50% · 8–8 on hard
17% · 1–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
36%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,770 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,770 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,850 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,850 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Houston on April 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 1–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Nakashima has posted a 6–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McDonald leads 4–1 over Nakashima.