Mackenzie McDonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 6, 2025 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Mackenzie McDonald
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,754 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,754 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Indian Wells on March 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 32–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fokina has posted a 30–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McDonald entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fokina leads 3–1 over McDonald.