Lukas Neumayer vs Matteo Gigante · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 8, 2025 • 1:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Matteo Gigante
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lukas Neumayer
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,883 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,883 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 20% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Gigante
45% · 10–12 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,509 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lukas Neumayer and Matteo Gigante are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Neumayer enters with a 3–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gigante has posted a 10–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gigante entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gigante leads 2–1 over Neumayer, including a win in their most recent meeting.