BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Lukas Neumayer vs Carlos Sanchez Jover · Match odds & ELO prediction

Kigali • Clay • Feb 26, 2025 • 8:10 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Lukas Neumayer

Key insights

Player performance profile

Lukas Neumayer

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,883 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.012% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.341% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.313% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
20%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

CLAYSmall sample

67% · 21 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Lukas Neumayer and Carlos Sanchez Jover are set to meet at the Kigali on February 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Neumayer enters with a 32–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jover has posted a 49–25 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Neumayer, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Neumayer leads 3–0 over Jover, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Neumayer, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Jover has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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