Lucrezia Stefanini vs Marina Bassols Ribera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rovereto • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Lucrezia Stefanini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucrezia Stefanini
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marina Bassols Ribera
59% · 23–16 on hard
57% · 20–15 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,550 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,550 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucrezia Stefanini and Marina Bassols Ribera are set to meet at the Rovereto on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stefanini enters with a 28–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ribera has posted a 23–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Stefanini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stefanini leads 5–0 over Ribera, including a win in their most recent meeting.