Lucrezia Stefanini vs Lea Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
Newport • Grass • Jul 8, 2025 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Lucrezia Stefanini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucrezia Stefanini
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,874 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,874 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lea Ma
56% · 18–14 on hard
60% · 6–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucrezia Stefanini and Lea Ma are set to meet at the Newport on July 8, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Stefanini enters with a 5–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Ma has posted a 0–1 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stefanini, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stefanini leads 1–0 over Ma, including a win in their most recent meeting.