BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Lucrezia Stefanini vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction

Guadalajara • Hard • Sep 2, 2025 • 5:10 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Emiliana Arango

Key insights

Player performance profile

Lucrezia Stefanini

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,600 points across 33 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.56% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.598% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-2.823% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Emiliana Arango

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,508 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.73% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.385% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.49% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
27%9% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Lucrezia Stefanini and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the Guadalajara on September 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stefanini enters with a 28–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arango has posted a 25–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arango, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Stefanini and Arango alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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