Lucrezia Stefanini vs Emiliana Arango · Match odds & ELO prediction
Guadalajara • Hard • Sep 2, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Emiliana Arango
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucrezia Stefanini
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,694 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emiliana Arango
11% · 1–8 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,798 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucrezia Stefanini and Emiliana Arango are set to meet at the Guadalajara on September 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stefanini enters with a 28–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arango has posted a 25–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Arango, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.