Lucie Havlickova vs Mia Ristic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Lucie Havlickova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucie Havlickova
74% · 17–6 on hard
83% · 10–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~357 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~357 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mia Ristic
33% · 2–4 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucie Havlickova and Mia Ristic are set to meet at the Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Havlickova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ristic has posted a 9–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Havlickova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Havlickova leads 1–0 over Ristic, including a win in their most recent meeting.