Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas • Clay • Aug 1, 2025 • 1:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucia Cortez Llorca
0% · 0–9 on hard
51% · 19–18 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
8 matches tracked
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
33% · 7–14 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ekaterina Ovcharenko are set to meet at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas on August 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Llorca enters with a 19–18 record on clay courts in 2025, while Ovcharenko has posted a 7–9 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ovcharenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ovcharenko leads 1–0 over Llorca, including a win in their most recent meeting.