Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction
Concepcion • Clay • Mar 25, 2025 • 5:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~560 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~560 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Concepcion on March 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Joao enters with a 50–30 record on clay courts in 2025, while Vera has posted a 42–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Vera, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Vera leads 4–2 over Joao, including a win in their most recent meeting.