Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Luka Pavlovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Zagreb • Clay • May 11, 2026 • 1:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~664 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luka Pavlovic
25% · 1–3 on hard
61% · 30–19 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,311 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.8 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Luka Pavlovic are set to meet at the Zagreb on May 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joao enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Pavlovic has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Joao entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Joao leads 1–0 over Pavlovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.