Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Gonzalo Bueno · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tampere • Clay • Jul 22, 2025 • 5:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~295 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~369 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~369 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Gonzalo Bueno are set to meet at the Tampere on July 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Joao enters with a 50–30 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bueno has posted a 42–32 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Joao leads 5–1 over Bueno, including a win in their most recent meeting.