Lucas Poullain vs Matteo Martineau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hersonissos 4 • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 10:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lucas Poullain
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lucas Poullain
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lucas Poullain and Matteo Martineau are set to meet at the Hersonissos 4 on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Poullain enters with a 37–28 record on hard courts in 2025, while Martineau has posted a 20–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Poullain leads 3–1 over Martineau, including a win in their most recent meeting.