Luca van Assche vs Rei Sakamoto · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sassuolo • Clay • Jun 18, 2025 • 2:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luca van Assche
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca van Assche
75% · 18–6 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca van Assche and Rei Sakamoto are set to meet at the Sassuolo on June 18, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Assche enters with a 15–12 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sakamoto has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Assche leads 3–0 over Sakamoto, including a win in their most recent meeting.