Luca van Assche vs Alexander Shevchenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Quimper • Hard • Jan 27, 2026 • 4:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luca van Assche
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca van Assche
75% · 18–6 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca van Assche and Alexander Shevchenko are set to meet at the Quimper on January 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Assche enters with a 18–6 record on hard courts in 2026, while Shevchenko has posted a 11–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Assche entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.