Luca Pow vs Nicolas Arseneault · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Winston-Salem, NC • Hard • Jan 8, 2026 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luca Pow
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Pow
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Arseneault
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Pow and Nicolas Arseneault are set to meet at the M25 Winston-Salem, NC on January 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pow enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Arseneault has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Arseneault entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pow leads 1–0 over Arseneault, including a win in their most recent meeting.