Luca Nardi vs Tomas Machac · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 24, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
0 - 3
Winner Tomas Machac
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Nardi
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tomas Machac
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,443 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,443 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Nardi and Tomas Machac are set to meet at the US Open on August 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nardi enters with a 22–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Machac has posted a 17–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Machac entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Machac leads 2–1 over Nardi, including a win in their most recent meeting.