Luca Nardi vs Kei Nishikori · Match odds & ELO prediction
Phoenix • Hard • Mar 13, 2025 • 2:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Kei Nishikori
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Nardi
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Kei Nishikori
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,582 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Nardi and Kei Nishikori are set to meet at the Phoenix on March 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Nardi enters with a 22–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nishikori has posted a 11–8 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Nishikori leads 2–0 over Nardi, including a win in their most recent meeting.