Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2025 • 1:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luca Nardi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Nardi
47% · 8–9 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,983 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Nardi enters with a 8–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Cobolli has posted a 15–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nardi leads 3–1 over Cobolli, including a win in their most recent meeting.