BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Lourdes Carle Maria vs Mayar Sherif · Match odds & ELO prediction

Colina • Clay • Nov 21, 2025 • 5:15 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Mayar Sherif

Key insights

Player performance profile

Lourdes Carle Maria

HARD

43% · 34 on hard

CLAY

33% · 48 on clay

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.03% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.799% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.55% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
17%4% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mayar Sherif

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

CLAY

50% · 77 on clay

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,925 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.010% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.58% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.112% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
27%9% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Lourdes Carle Maria and Mayar Sherif are set to meet at the Colina on November 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 26–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sherif has posted a 35–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sherif leads 3–1 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Sherif, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Maria has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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