Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 27, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Sonego
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,636 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda are set to meet at the Paris on October 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 19–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Korda has posted a 19–13 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sonego leads 3–2 over Korda, including a win in their most recent meeting.