Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 11:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Sonego
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 2–2 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,334 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miomir Kecmanovic
44% · 8–10 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,356 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,356 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Miomir Kecmanovic are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kecmanovic has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kecmanovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sonego leads 3–2 over Kecmanovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.