Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 11:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Sonego
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Sonego
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,773 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,773 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miomir Kecmanovic
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,740 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,740 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Miomir Kecmanovic are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kecmanovic has posted a 5–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sonego leads 3–2 over Kecmanovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.