BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas · Match odds & ELO prediction

Geneva • Clay • May 18, 2026 • 6:35 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Edas Butvilas

Key insights

Player performance profile

Lorenzo Sonego

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

25% · 13 on clay

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,932 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.779% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.912% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.966% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%38% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Edas Butvilas

HARD

59% · 2920 on hard

CLAY

17% · 210 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 02 on grass

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~593 points across 7 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.752% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.341% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.986% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Lorenzo Sonego and Edas Butvilas are set to meet at the Geneva on May 18, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sonego enters with a 1–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Butvilas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sonego, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Butvilas leads 1–0 over Sonego, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Sonego and Butvilas alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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