Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chengdu • Hard • Sep 21, 2025 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33% · 5–10 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,333 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Musetti enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Basilashvili has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.