Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 8:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
44% · 7–9 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,806 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,806 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -11.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.3 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Musetti enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Perricard has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Musetti leads 5–1 over Perricard, including a win in their most recent meeting.