Lorenzo Musetti vs David Goffin · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,744 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,744 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
David Goffin
36% · 12–21 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,698 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,698 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and David Goffin are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Musetti enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Goffin has posted a 12–21 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Musetti leads 3–1 over Goffin, including a win in their most recent meeting.