Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Musetti enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Ruud has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Musetti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 2–1 over Musetti, including a win in their most recent meeting.