Linda Noskova vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Linda Noskova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,101 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.5 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 87% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Linda Noskova and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Noskova enters with a 3–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 11–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Swiatek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 6–1 over Noskova, including a win in their most recent meeting.