Lin Zhu vs Varvara Gracheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montreal • Hard • Jul 27, 2025 • 5:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lin Zhu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lin Zhu
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,826 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,826 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 86% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -15.1 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lin Zhu and Varvara Gracheva are set to meet at the Montreal on July 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zhu enters with a 17–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gracheva has posted a 20–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gracheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Zhu leads 3–0 over Gracheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.