Lian Tran vs Miriana Tona · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sao Paulo • Hard • Sep 7, 2025 • 6:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Miriana Tona
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lian Tran
36% · 5–9 on hard
43% · 13–17 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
37%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~787 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~787 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miriana Tona
50% · 5–5 on hard
60% · 25–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
34%
4 matches tracked · limited sample
Player Skillset
Based on ~545 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~545 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.2 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lian Tran and Miriana Tona are set to meet at the Sao Paulo on September 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tran enters with a 5–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tona has posted a 5–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tona entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tona leads 1–0 over Tran, including a win in their most recent meeting.