Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Houston • Clay • Mar 29, 2026 • 6:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Liam Draxl
Key insights
Player performance profile
Liam Draxl
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexis Galarneau
61% · 19–12 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Liam Draxl and Alexis Galarneau are set to meet at the Houston on March 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Draxl enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Galarneau has posted a 1–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Draxl, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Draxl leads 4–0 over Galarneau, including a win in their most recent meeting.