Lia Karatancheva vs Mary Lewis · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Nov 3, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mary Lewis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lia Karatancheva
27% · 3–8 on hard
54% · 27–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~424 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mary Lewis
28% · 5–13 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
6 matches tracked
Match Overview
Lia Karatancheva and Mary Lewis are set to meet at the Austin on November 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Karatancheva enters with a 3–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Lewis has posted a 5–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Karatancheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Lewis leads 1–0 over Karatancheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.