Li Tu vs Naoki Nakagawa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane 2 • Hard • Feb 10, 2026 • 2:55 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Li Tu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Li Tu
39% · 11–17 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,743 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,743 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naoki Nakagawa
42% · 15–21 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Li Tu and Naoki Nakagawa are set to meet at the Brisbane 2 on February 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tu enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Nakagawa has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakagawa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tu leads 2–0 over Nakagawa, including a win in their most recent meeting.