Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 11:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mirra Andreeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mirra Andreeva
70% · 14–6 on hard
86% · 12–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the Madrid on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Andreeva has posted a 12–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Andreeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Andreeva leads 2–1 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.