Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 23, 2026 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Leylah Fernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,605 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,605 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Julia Grabher
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,514 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,514 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.4 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.0 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 22% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Julia Grabher are set to meet at the Madrid on April 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Grabher has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Grabher entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fernandez leads 3–0 over Grabher, including a win in their most recent meeting.