BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider · Match odds & ELO prediction

Charleston • Clay • Apr 2, 2026 • 5:30 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Diana Shnaider

Key insights

Player performance profile

Leylah Fernandez

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,487 points across 66 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.089% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.322% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.753% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%53% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Diana Shnaider

HARD

53% · 87 on hard

CLAY

57% · 43 on clay

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,387 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.874% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.258% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%50% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Leylah Fernandez and Diana Shnaider are set to meet at the Charleston on April 2, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Shnaider has posted a 4–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Shnaider, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Shnaider leads 3–2 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Shnaider, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Fernandez has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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