Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Match odds & ELO prediction
Vic • Clay • Apr 30, 2025 • 9:20 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,824 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,824 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 86% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Leylah Fernandez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich are set to meet at the Vic on April 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Fernandez enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sasnovich has posted a 11–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fernandez entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sasnovich leads 2–1 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.