Match analytics

Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Learner Tien

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,413 points across 68 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.431% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.772% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.569% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%54% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nuno Borges

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,602 points across 61 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.053% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.240% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.621% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%28% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Learner Tien and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tien enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Borges has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 1–0 over Borges, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tien and Borges have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.