Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shanghai • Hard • Oct 6, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Learner Tien
Key insights
Player performance profile
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,413 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,413 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Learner Tien and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the Shanghai on October 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tien enters with a 32–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 19–19 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 3–1 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.