L. Samsonova vs Jessica Pegula · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 5:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
L. Samsonova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,648 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,648 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jessica Pegula
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,982 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,982 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
L. Samsonova and Jessica Pegula are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Samsonova enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Pegula has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 2–1 over Samsonova, including a win in their most recent meeting.