Ksenia Efremova vs L. Sun · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 20, 2026 • 5:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ksenia Efremova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ksenia Efremova
60% · 9–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~502 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~502 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
L. Sun
23% · 3–10 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
40% · 2–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,786 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,786 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ksenia Efremova and L. Sun are set to meet at the Madrid on April 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Efremova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Sun has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sun entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Efremova leads 1–0 over Sun, including a win in their most recent meeting.