Kristina Penickova vs Mai Hontama · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 8:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mai Hontama
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kristina Penickova
61% · 17–11 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~106 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~106 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kristina Penickova and Mai Hontama are set to meet at the US Open on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Penickova enters with a 17–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hontama has posted a 18–26 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Hontama leads 1–0 over Penickova, including a win in their most recent meeting.