BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Kimberly Birrell vs Sonay Kartal · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rome • Clay • May 6, 2025 • 2:55 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Sonay Kartal

Key insights

Player performance profile

Kimberly Birrell

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,622 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.269% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.944% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.246% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%70% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Sonay Kartal

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,245 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.987% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.237% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.260% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%61% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Kimberly Birrell and Sonay Kartal are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 1–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Kartal has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kartal, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kartal leads 3–1 over Birrell, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Kartal, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Birrell has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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