Kimberly Birrell vs Mai Hontama · Match odds & ELO prediction
Osaka • Hard • Oct 12, 2025 • 8:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Kimberly Birrell
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kimberly Birrell
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,603 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,603 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 62% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kimberly Birrell and Mai Hontama are set to meet at the Osaka on October 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 31–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hontama has posted a 18–26 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hontama entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.