Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Boulter · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Oct 19, 2025 • 1:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Katie Boulter
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kimberly Birrell
64% · 16–9 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,622 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,622 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katie Boulter
69% · 11–5 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kimberly Birrell and Katie Boulter are set to meet at the Tokyo on October 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Birrell enters with a 31–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Boulter has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Birrell, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Boulter leads 2–0 over Birrell, including a win in their most recent meeting.